Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport's automated weather station (NIWA/MetService ID 93439)—the market's resolution source—confirm the day's maximum temperature peaked at 20°C around midday under fine skies and light northerlies, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects actual measured data surpassing earlier MetService forecasts of 22°C, likely due to cooler sea breezes tempering diurnal warming in typical autumn conditions, where historical April highs average 16–18°C. With evening cooling underway and no model indications of rebound, probabilities remain locked; only an improbable official data revision from preliminary to final records could challenge this positioning. Final daily summary expected overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$193,048 交易量
$193,048 交易量
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$193,048 交易量
$193,048 交易量
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport's automated weather station (NIWA/MetService ID 93439)—the market's resolution source—confirm the day's maximum temperature peaked at 20°C around midday under fine skies and light northerlies, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects actual measured data surpassing earlier MetService forecasts of 22°C, likely due to cooler sea breezes tempering diurnal warming in typical autumn conditions, where historical April highs average 16–18°C. With evening cooling underway and no model indications of rebound, probabilities remain locked; only an improbable official data revision from preliminary to final records could challenge this positioning. Final daily summary expected overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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