Divergent short-range forecasts from NiMet and global models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty amid the onset of Nigeria's rainy season. NiMet's recent bulletins note partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms and rising humidity from moist Atlantic inflow, likely moderating peaks from recent 35–36°C highs through reduced insolation and sea breeze enhancement. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover extent and convection timing, which could suppress 35°C+ outcomes by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies favoring upper-end projections up to 36°C in drier analogs. Monitor NiMet's evening update and airport observations for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月12日拉各斯的最高温度？
4月12日拉各斯的最高温度？
34°C 37%
33°C 27%
35°C 22%
32°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
17%
33°C
27%
34°C
37%
35°C
22%
36°C
12%
37℃或更高
1%
34°C 37%
33°C 27%
35°C 22%
32°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
27°C或以下
$726 交易量
<1%
28°C
$504 交易量
<1%
29°C
$484 交易量
1%
30°C
$458 交易量
4%
31°C
$433 交易量
3%
32°C
$20 交易量
17%
33°C
$12 交易量
27%
34°C
$11 交易量
37%
35°C
$11 交易量
22%
36°C
$41 交易量
12%
37℃或更高
$485 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Divergent short-range forecasts from NiMet and global models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty amid the onset of Nigeria's rainy season. NiMet's recent bulletins note partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms and rising humidity from moist Atlantic inflow, likely moderating peaks from recent 35–36°C highs through reduced insolation and sea breeze enhancement. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover extent and convection timing, which could suppress 35°C+ outcomes by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies favoring upper-end projections up to 36°C in drier analogs. Monitor NiMet's evening update and airport observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$3,185结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Divergent short-range forecasts from NiMet and global models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty amid the onset of Nigeria's rainy season. NiMet's recent bulletins note partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms and rising humidity from moist Atlantic inflow, likely moderating peaks from recent 35–36°C highs through reduced insolation and sea breeze enhancement. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover extent and convection timing, which could suppress 35°C+ outcomes by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies favoring upper-end projections up to 36°C in drier analogs. Monitor NiMet's evening update and airport observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,185结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETDivergent short-range forecasts from NiMet and global models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty amid the onset of Nigeria's rainy season. NiMet's recent bulletins note partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms and rising humidity from moist Atlantic inflow, likely moderating peaks from recent 35–36°C highs through reduced insolation and sea breeze enhancement. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover extent and convection timing, which could suppress 35°C+ outcomes by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies favoring upper-end projections up to 36°C in drier analogs. Monitor NiMet's evening update and airport observations for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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