Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (97.5% implied probability), backed by strong alignment across National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 68-70°F at Denver International Airport. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies and highs well above the April 13 climatological normal of 61°F, following record warmth earlier this week including 80°F on April 10 amid a dry pattern after early-month storms. Model runs show tight clustering with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in adiabatic warming under light southerly flow. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shortwave trough introducing clouds or a cold front shift, with updated NOAA guidance due within 24 hours potentially refining odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on April 13?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 13?
64°F or higher 97.4%
58-59°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$21,608 交易量
$21,608 交易量
2026-04-13
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F or higher
97%
64°F or higher 97.4%
58-59°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$21,608 交易量
$21,608 交易量
2026-04-13
45°F or below
$2,092 交易量
<1%
46-47°F
$2,474 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$2,459 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$2,300 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$2,337 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$2,257 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$2,119 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$1,297 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$878 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$951 交易量
1%
64°F or higher
$2,444 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (97.5% implied probability), backed by strong alignment across National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 68-70°F at Denver International Airport. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies and highs well above the April 13 climatological normal of 61°F, following record warmth earlier this week including 80°F on April 10 amid a dry pattern after early-month storms. Model runs show tight clustering with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in adiabatic warming under light southerly flow. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shortwave trough introducing clouds or a cold front shift, with updated NOAA guidance due within 24 hours potentially refining odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
交易量
$21,608结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:38 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (97.5% implied probability), backed by strong alignment across National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 68-70°F at Denver International Airport. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies and highs well above the April 13 climatological normal of 61°F, following record warmth earlier this week including 80°F on April 10 amid a dry pattern after early-month storms. Model runs show tight clustering with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in adiabatic warming under light southerly flow. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shortwave trough introducing clouds or a cold front shift, with updated NOAA guidance due within 24 hours potentially refining odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,608结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:38 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (97.5% implied probability), backed by strong alignment across National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 68-70°F at Denver International Airport. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies and highs well above the April 13 climatological normal of 61°F, following record warmth earlier this week including 80°F on April 10 amid a dry pattern after early-month storms. Model runs show tight clustering with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in adiabatic warming under light southerly flow. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shortwave trough introducing clouds or a cold front shift, with updated NOAA guidance due within 24 hours potentially refining odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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