Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C (33%) as Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, closely tracking the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 18°C maximum at Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds. This positioning stems from recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 48 hours, which cluster outcomes around 17–20°C amid mild southerly flow fostering daytime warming after April 10's cooler 14°C high amid scattered rain. High uncertainty persists due to model divergence on cloud cover extent, which could suppress peaks below 17°C, or stronger advection pushing toward 20°C+; traders await KMA's final hourly updates and real-time observations tomorrow. Historical April highs average 17°C, contextualizing the tight distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月12日首尔气温最高？
4月12日首尔气温最高？
18°C 32%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
20°C 13%
$114,109 交易量
$114,109 交易量
2026-04-12
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19°C
19%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
18°C 32%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
20°C 13%
$114,109 交易量
$114,109 交易量
2026-04-12
14°C或以下
$20,474 交易量
2%
15°C
$13,125 交易量
4%
16°C
$10,100 交易量
9%
17°C
$6,179 交易量
14%
18°C
$5,267 交易量
32%
19°C
$7,173 交易量
19%
20°C
$5,436 交易量
13%
21°C
$10,558 交易量
5%
22°C
$13,242 交易量
5%
23°C
$9,662 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$12,996 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C (33%) as Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, closely tracking the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 18°C maximum at Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds. This positioning stems from recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 48 hours, which cluster outcomes around 17–20°C amid mild southerly flow fostering daytime warming after April 10's cooler 14°C high amid scattered rain. High uncertainty persists due to model divergence on cloud cover extent, which could suppress peaks below 17°C, or stronger advection pushing toward 20°C+; traders await KMA's final hourly updates and real-time observations tomorrow. Historical April highs average 17°C, contextualizing the tight distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$114,109结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C (33%) as Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, closely tracking the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 18°C maximum at Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds. This positioning stems from recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 48 hours, which cluster outcomes around 17–20°C amid mild southerly flow fostering daytime warming after April 10's cooler 14°C high amid scattered rain. High uncertainty persists due to model divergence on cloud cover extent, which could suppress peaks below 17°C, or stronger advection pushing toward 20°C+; traders await KMA's final hourly updates and real-time observations tomorrow. Historical April highs average 17°C, contextualizing the tight distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$114,109结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C (33%) as Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, closely tracking the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 18°C maximum at Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds. This positioning stems from recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 48 hours, which cluster outcomes around 17–20°C amid mild southerly flow fostering daytime warming after April 10's cooler 14°C high amid scattered rain. High uncertainty persists due to model divergence on cloud cover extent, which could suppress peaks below 17°C, or stronger advection pushing toward 20°C+; traders await KMA's final hourly updates and real-time observations tomorrow. Historical April highs average 17°C, contextualizing the tight distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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