National Weather Service point forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project New York City's high temperature today near 62-63°F under mostly sunny skies and northwest winds gusting 15-20 mph, anchoring trader consensus with 46.5% implied probability on that outcome and 31.5% on 60-61°F. Morning observations at Central Park show temperatures in the upper 50s amid clearing conditions following yesterday's cooler-than-normal highs, enabling standard diurnal heating moderated by post-frontal breezes and dry air mass. This setup aligns with April climatology—average highs around 61°F—while low probabilities for extremes reflect model agreement and minimal convective risk. Hourly NWS updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trajectories ahead of Central Park-based resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 11?
62-63°F 48%
60-61°F 27%
64-65°F 18%
59°F or below 3.2%
$84,269 交易量
$84,269 交易量
59°F or below
3%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
48%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
62-63°F 48%
60-61°F 27%
64-65°F 18%
59°F or below 3.2%
$84,269 交易量
$84,269 交易量
59°F or below
3%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
48%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service point forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project New York City's high temperature today near 62-63°F under mostly sunny skies and northwest winds gusting 15-20 mph, anchoring trader consensus with 46.5% implied probability on that outcome and 31.5% on 60-61°F. Morning observations at Central Park show temperatures in the upper 50s amid clearing conditions following yesterday's cooler-than-normal highs, enabling standard diurnal heating moderated by post-frontal breezes and dry air mass. This setup aligns with April climatology—average highs around 61°F—while low probabilities for extremes reflect model agreement and minimal convective risk. Hourly NWS updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trajectories ahead of Central Park-based resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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