Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City forecasts a high near 54°F on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5-13 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 54-55°F (37%) and 56-57°F (24%) outcomes at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution station. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs projecting peaks in the mid-50s°F amid a cool upper-air mass around 15°C at 850 mb and a chilly morning start near 38°F, limiting convective heating despite light winds and clear conditions. Slightly below April normals of ~60°F, probabilities account for minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or stray clouds capping peaks, with final observations resolving the market tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?
54-55°F 37%
56-57°F 24%
52-53°F 20.5%
58-59°F 10%
$23,807 交易量
$23,807 交易量
2026-04-12
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
37%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 37%
56-57°F 24%
52-53°F 20.5%
58-59°F 10%
$23,807 交易量
$23,807 交易量
2026-04-12
47°F or below
$2,905 交易量
1%
48-49°F
$1,294 交易量
1%
50-51°F
$1,662 交易量
4%
52-53°F
$1,287 交易量
21%
54-55°F
$1,859 交易量
37%
56-57°F
$1,465 交易量
24%
58-59°F
$1,824 交易量
10%
60-61°F
$4,849 交易量
4%
62-63°F
$1,696 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$1,410 交易量
1%
66°F or higher
$3,561 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City forecasts a high near 54°F on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5-13 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 54-55°F (37%) and 56-57°F (24%) outcomes at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution station. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs projecting peaks in the mid-50s°F amid a cool upper-air mass around 15°C at 850 mb and a chilly morning start near 38°F, limiting convective heating despite light winds and clear conditions. Slightly below April normals of ~60°F, probabilities account for minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or stray clouds capping peaks, with final observations resolving the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$23,807结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City forecasts a high near 54°F on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5-13 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 54-55°F (37%) and 56-57°F (24%) outcomes at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution station. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs projecting peaks in the mid-50s°F amid a cool upper-air mass around 15°C at 850 mb and a chilly morning start near 38°F, limiting convective heating despite light winds and clear conditions. Slightly below April normals of ~60°F, probabilities account for minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or stray clouds capping peaks, with final observations resolving the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,807结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance for New York City forecasts a high near 54°F on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5-13 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 54-55°F (37%) and 56-57°F (24%) outcomes at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution station. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs projecting peaks in the mid-50s°F amid a cool upper-air mass around 15°C at 850 mb and a chilly morning start near 38°F, limiting convective heating despite light winds and clear conditions. Slightly below April normals of ~60°F, probabilities account for minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or stray clouds capping peaks, with final observations resolving the market tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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