Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport—the official resolution station for Seoul temperature markets—confirm today's highest temperature peaked at 12°C amid persistent cloud cover and light westerly winds that suppressed solar heating despite early forecasts calling for 14–18°C maxima. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 11°C with sunset passed, initiating nocturnal cooling under stable atmospheric conditions, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability on 12°C as further warming is meteorologically implausible. This positioning reflects real-time data overriding prior model projections influenced by a cooler air mass over the Korean Peninsula; only an anomalous official revision to hourly records could challenge it, though historical precedents show such adjustments rare below 0.1°C. KMA's daily summary, due shortly, will lock in resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 11?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 11?
12°C 99.8%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$434,458 交易量
$434,458 交易量
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 99.8%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$434,458 交易量
$434,458 交易量
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport—the official resolution station for Seoul temperature markets—confirm today's highest temperature peaked at 12°C amid persistent cloud cover and light westerly winds that suppressed solar heating despite early forecasts calling for 14–18°C maxima. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 11°C with sunset passed, initiating nocturnal cooling under stable atmospheric conditions, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability on 12°C as further warming is meteorologically implausible. This positioning reflects real-time data overriding prior model projections influenced by a cooler air mass over the Korean Peninsula; only an anomalous official revision to hourly records could challenge it, though historical precedents show such adjustments rare below 0.1°C. KMA's daily summary, due shortly, will lock in resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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