Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13 (93.5% implied probability), driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts projecting daytime highs around 20-22°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. This reflects current surface observations of mild spring conditions—April 11 mornings near 8-11°C warming steadily via solar heating amid a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula—and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicating southerly flow advecting warmer air masses. Historical mid-April averages hover near 18-19°C, but recent sunny trends have pushed anomalies higher. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus layer suppressing temps below 20°C or a premature cold front shift; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Busan station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 13?
20°C or higher 94%
19°C 4.3%
18°C 3.0%
17°C 1.8%
$10,000 交易量
$10,000 交易量
2026-04-13
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
94%
20°C or higher 94%
19°C 4.3%
18°C 3.0%
17°C 1.8%
$10,000 交易量
$10,000 交易量
2026-04-13
10°C or below
$892 交易量
<1%
11°C
$3,125 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,008 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,083 交易量
<1%
14°C
$485 交易量
<1%
15°C
$888 交易量
<1%
16°C
$561 交易量
1%
17°C
$380 交易量
2%
18°C
$332 交易量
3%
19°C
$333 交易量
4%
20°C or higher
$914 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13 (93.5% implied probability), driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts projecting daytime highs around 20-22°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. This reflects current surface observations of mild spring conditions—April 11 mornings near 8-11°C warming steadily via solar heating amid a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula—and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicating southerly flow advecting warmer air masses. Historical mid-April averages hover near 18-19°C, but recent sunny trends have pushed anomalies higher. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus layer suppressing temps below 20°C or a premature cold front shift; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Busan station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
交易量
$10,000结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:42 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13 (93.5% implied probability), driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts projecting daytime highs around 20-22°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. This reflects current surface observations of mild spring conditions—April 11 mornings near 8-11°C warming steadily via solar heating amid a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula—and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicating southerly flow advecting warmer air masses. Historical mid-April averages hover near 18-19°C, but recent sunny trends have pushed anomalies higher. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus layer suppressing temps below 20°C or a premature cold front shift; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Busan station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,000结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:42 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13 (93.5% implied probability), driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts projecting daytime highs around 20-22°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. This reflects current surface observations of mild spring conditions—April 11 mornings near 8-11°C warming steadily via solar heating amid a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula—and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicating southerly flow advecting warmer air masses. Historical mid-April averages hover near 18-19°C, but recent sunny trends have pushed anomalies higher. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus layer suppressing temps below 20°C or a premature cold front shift; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Busan station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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