Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) hourly forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Munich's highest temperature today clustering tightly around 17°C, reflecting trader consensus with 56% implied probability on that outcome and 41% on 16°C. Morning observations at Munich Airport registered 5°C at 6 a.m. local time under partly cloudy skies, supporting above-normal mid-April warmth—well above the historical average high of about 14°C—due to mild southerly flows and limited cloud interference in the boundary layer. Ensemble spreads indicate low uncertainty for 16–18°C range, though convective activity or diurnal cloud development could shave 1–2°C; official DWD station data will resolve the market by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on April 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 11?
17°C 65%
16°C 22%
18°C 8%
19°C 1.4%
$112,981 交易量
$112,981 交易量
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
22%
17°C
65%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 65%
16°C 22%
18°C 8%
19°C 1.4%
$112,981 交易量
$112,981 交易量
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
22%
17°C
65%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) hourly forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Munich's highest temperature today clustering tightly around 17°C, reflecting trader consensus with 56% implied probability on that outcome and 41% on 16°C. Morning observations at Munich Airport registered 5°C at 6 a.m. local time under partly cloudy skies, supporting above-normal mid-April warmth—well above the historical average high of about 14°C—due to mild southerly flows and limited cloud interference in the boundary layer. Ensemble spreads indicate low uncertainty for 16–18°C range, though convective activity or diurnal cloud development could shave 1–2°C; official DWD station data will resolve the market by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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