Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (39%) and 23°C (32.5%) as Cape Town's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended forecast for partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and cool-to-warm air masses, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS clustering maxima around 23-24°C. Autumnal patterns post-frontal ridge have subdued solar heating, with historical April averages at 23°C and the Benguela Current's cooling influence via southerly sea breezes differentiating outcomes—greater cloud persistence or stronger winds cap peaks at 23°C, while partial clearing boosts to 24-25°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists amid model spread; watch SAWS's next hourly update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月12日开普敦气温最高？
4月12日开普敦气温最高？
24°C 50%
23°C 33%
25°C 16%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
33%
24°C
39%
25°C
16%
26°C
10%
27°C
6%
28°C或更高
4%
24°C 50%
23°C 33%
25°C 16%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
18°C或以下
$302 交易量
1%
19°C
$225 交易量
1%
20°C
$31 交易量
4%
21°C
$6 交易量
9%
22°C
$1 交易量
10%
23°C
$0 交易量
33%
24°C
$4 交易量
39%
25°C
$2 交易量
16%
26°C
$2 交易量
10%
27°C
$47 交易量
6%
28°C或更高
$69 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (39%) and 23°C (32.5%) as Cape Town's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended forecast for partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and cool-to-warm air masses, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS clustering maxima around 23-24°C. Autumnal patterns post-frontal ridge have subdued solar heating, with historical April averages at 23°C and the Benguela Current's cooling influence via southerly sea breezes differentiating outcomes—greater cloud persistence or stronger winds cap peaks at 23°C, while partial clearing boosts to 24-25°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists amid model spread; watch SAWS's next hourly update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$689结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (39%) and 23°C (32.5%) as Cape Town's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended forecast for partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and cool-to-warm air masses, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS clustering maxima around 23-24°C. Autumnal patterns post-frontal ridge have subdued solar heating, with historical April averages at 23°C and the Benguela Current's cooling influence via southerly sea breezes differentiating outcomes—greater cloud persistence or stronger winds cap peaks at 23°C, while partial clearing boosts to 24-25°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists amid model spread; watch SAWS's next hourly update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$689结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (39%) and 23°C (32.5%) as Cape Town's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended forecast for partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and cool-to-warm air masses, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS clustering maxima around 23-24°C. Autumnal patterns post-frontal ridge have subdued solar heating, with historical April averages at 23°C and the Benguela Current's cooling influence via southerly sea breezes differentiating outcomes—greater cloud persistence or stronger winds cap peaks at 23°C, while partial clearing boosts to 24-25°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists amid model spread; watch SAWS's next hourly update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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