The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC station) recorded a maximum temperature of 58°F on April 10, 2026—well within the 58-59°F range—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This outcome aligns with observed cool, overcast conditions under a lingering upper-level trough, suppressing daytime heating despite mild southerly flow; the high occurred around midday, 2°F below the 1991-2020 April 10 normal of 60°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated highs near 60°F amid light winds and scattered clouds, with no significant deviations reported. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by NWS quality control if sensor anomalies emerge, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect <1% of daily records. Final NCEI certification expected within days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 10?
58-59°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$196,034 交易量
$196,034 交易量
2026-04-10
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
58-59°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$196,034 交易量
$196,034 交易量
2026-04-10
55°F or below
$24,825 交易量
No
56-57°F
$19,206 交易量
No
58-59°F
$31,033 交易量
Yes
60-61°F
$24,069 交易量
No
62-63°F
$18,945 交易量
No
64-65°F
$22,628 交易量
No
66-67°F
$15,510 交易量
No
68-69°F
$15,427 交易量
No
70-71°F
$11,959 交易量
No
72-73°F
$7,223 交易量
No
74°F or higher
$5,216 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC station) recorded a maximum temperature of 58°F on April 10, 2026—well within the 58-59°F range—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This outcome aligns with observed cool, overcast conditions under a lingering upper-level trough, suppressing daytime heating despite mild southerly flow; the high occurred around midday, 2°F below the 1991-2020 April 10 normal of 60°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated highs near 60°F amid light winds and scattered clouds, with no significant deviations reported. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by NWS quality control if sensor anomalies emerge, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect <1% of daily records. Final NCEI certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$196,034结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC station) recorded a maximum temperature of 58°F on April 10, 2026—well within the 58-59°F range—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This outcome aligns with observed cool, overcast conditions under a lingering upper-level trough, suppressing daytime heating despite mild southerly flow; the high occurred around midday, 2°F below the 1991-2020 April 10 normal of 60°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated highs near 60°F amid light winds and scattered clouds, with no significant deviations reported. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by NWS quality control if sensor anomalies emerge, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect <1% of daily records. Final NCEI certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$196,034结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC station) recorded a maximum temperature of 58°F on April 10, 2026—well within the 58-59°F range—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This outcome aligns with observed cool, overcast conditions under a lingering upper-level trough, suppressing daytime heating despite mild southerly flow; the high occurred around midday, 2°F below the 1991-2020 April 10 normal of 60°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated highs near 60°F amid light winds and scattered clouds, with no significant deviations reported. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by NWS quality control if sensor anomalies emerge, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect <1% of daily records. Final NCEI certification expected within days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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