Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (51%) and 23°C (47%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, reflecting uncertainty in forecast models amid cloudy conditions and isolated showers forecast by the South African Weather Service (SAWS). Southerly winds ushering cooler maritime air have moderated peak heating, with AccuWeather guidance centering on 23–24°C and low precipitation risk (10%), while GFS runs imply potential for marginal warming if afternoon cloud breaks occur. Typical April highs hover around 24°C climatologically, but variable low-level cloud cover and shower timing differentiate outcomes, as stations like Cape Town International track official maxima. SAWS intraday updates and observations through late afternoon will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast divergence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月11日开普敦气温最高?
4月11日开普敦气温最高?
23°C 47%
24°C 47%
25°C 43%
22°C 3.0%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
22%
23°C
46%
24°C
51%
25°C
27%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
1%
23°C 47%
24°C 47%
25°C 43%
22°C 3.0%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
22%
23°C
46%
24°C
51%
25°C
27%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (51%) and 23°C (47%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, reflecting uncertainty in forecast models amid cloudy conditions and isolated showers forecast by the South African Weather Service (SAWS). Southerly winds ushering cooler maritime air have moderated peak heating, with AccuWeather guidance centering on 23–24°C and low precipitation risk (10%), while GFS runs imply potential for marginal warming if afternoon cloud breaks occur. Typical April highs hover around 24°C climatologically, but variable low-level cloud cover and shower timing differentiate outcomes, as stations like Cape Town International track official maxima. SAWS intraday updates and observations through late afternoon will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast divergence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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