Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, with GFS and ECMWF model means clustering around 21-23°C but wide member spreads driven by divergent cloud cover projections under a partly cloudy forecast from the China Meteorological Administration. Recent observations of highs near 19°C over the past week, amid mild southerly winds and variable spring conditions, have pulled implied probabilities toward 18-20°C, differentiating outcomes via potential low-level cloud suppressing daytime heating below climatological mid-April norms of 20-22°C. New model runs expected daily through April 12 could refine these odds as upper-air patterns solidify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
19°C 29%
18°C 22%
20°C 20%
21°C 12%
$11,365 交易量
$11,365 交易量
2026-04-13
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
29%
20°C
20%
21°C
12%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 29%
18°C 22%
20°C 20%
21°C 12%
$11,365 交易量
$11,365 交易量
2026-04-13
13°C or below
$2,294 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,519 交易量
1%
15°C
$1,775 交易量
<1%
16°C
$2,253 交易量
2%
17°C
$626 交易量
6%
18°C
$412 交易量
22%
19°C
$315 交易量
29%
20°C
$395 交易量
20%
21°C
$221 交易量
12%
22°C
$511 交易量
5%
23°C or higher
$1,045 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, with GFS and ECMWF model means clustering around 21-23°C but wide member spreads driven by divergent cloud cover projections under a partly cloudy forecast from the China Meteorological Administration. Recent observations of highs near 19°C over the past week, amid mild southerly winds and variable spring conditions, have pulled implied probabilities toward 18-20°C, differentiating outcomes via potential low-level cloud suppressing daytime heating below climatological mid-April norms of 20-22°C. New model runs expected daily through April 12 could refine these odds as upper-air patterns solidify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
交易量
$11,365结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, with GFS and ECMWF model means clustering around 21-23°C but wide member spreads driven by divergent cloud cover projections under a partly cloudy forecast from the China Meteorological Administration. Recent observations of highs near 19°C over the past week, amid mild southerly winds and variable spring conditions, have pulled implied probabilities toward 18-20°C, differentiating outcomes via potential low-level cloud suppressing daytime heating below climatological mid-April norms of 20-22°C. New model runs expected daily through April 12 could refine these odds as upper-air patterns solidify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,365结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, with GFS and ECMWF model means clustering around 21-23°C but wide member spreads driven by divergent cloud cover projections under a partly cloudy forecast from the China Meteorological Administration. Recent observations of highs near 19°C over the past week, amid mild southerly winds and variable spring conditions, have pulled implied probabilities toward 18-20°C, differentiating outcomes via potential low-level cloud suppressing daytime heating below climatological mid-April norms of 20-22°C. New model runs expected daily through April 12 could refine these odds as upper-air patterns solidify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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