Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest temperature of 28°C at the Observatory on April 10, 2026, under a stable anticyclone aloft that suppressed cloud cover and fostered daytime heating, propelling traders to a 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome. Regional stations like Chek Lap Kok logged peaks up to 29.3°C in the past 24 hours, but official resolution hinges on HKO's benchmark measurement methodology at King's Park, which captured mid-morning highs aligning with this reading. This fits April climatology, with historical mean maxima around 25°C amid 2026's above-normal spring temperatures. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a rare data revision from final daily summary could shift it, as observations are settled.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 10?
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$239,853 交易量
$239,853 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$239,853 交易量
$239,853 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest temperature of 28°C at the Observatory on April 10, 2026, under a stable anticyclone aloft that suppressed cloud cover and fostered daytime heating, propelling traders to a 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome. Regional stations like Chek Lap Kok logged peaks up to 29.3°C in the past 24 hours, but official resolution hinges on HKO's benchmark measurement methodology at King's Park, which captured mid-morning highs aligning with this reading. This fits April climatology, with historical mean maxima around 25°C amid 2026's above-normal spring temperatures. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a rare data revision from final daily summary could shift it, as observations are settled.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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