Météo-France's latest midday forecast models, including high-resolution AROME runs, project a maximum temperature of 15°C in Paris today amid a passing frontal system bringing persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and westerly winds gusting to 25 km/h, driving the market-implied 99.4% probability for 18°C or below. This aligns with ensemble consensus from ECMWF and UK Met Office guidance, reflecting cooler Atlantic air masses typical for mid-April following last week's unseasonal warmth up to 26°C. Current observations show afternoon highs struggling near 13–14°C under overcast skies. While model agreement is strong, realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon clearing or reduced cloud forcing a 1–2°C uptick, though low-level wind shear limits upside potential; final measurements from Paris weather stations will resolve by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
18°C or below 99.6%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
$181,660 交易量
$181,660 交易量
2026-04-11
18°C or below
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 99.6%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
$181,660 交易量
$181,660 交易量
2026-04-11
18°C or below
$80,344 交易量
100%
19°C
$19,916 交易量
<1%
20°C
$20,135 交易量
<1%
21°C
$24,664 交易量
<1%
22°C
$13,231 交易量
<1%
23°C
$13,806 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,671 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,664 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,504 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,641 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,083 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest midday forecast models, including high-resolution AROME runs, project a maximum temperature of 15°C in Paris today amid a passing frontal system bringing persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and westerly winds gusting to 25 km/h, driving the market-implied 99.4% probability for 18°C or below. This aligns with ensemble consensus from ECMWF and UK Met Office guidance, reflecting cooler Atlantic air masses typical for mid-April following last week's unseasonal warmth up to 26°C. Current observations show afternoon highs struggling near 13–14°C under overcast skies. While model agreement is strong, realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon clearing or reduced cloud forcing a 1–2°C uptick, though low-level wind shear limits upside potential; final measurements from Paris weather stations will resolve by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$181,660结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest midday forecast models, including high-resolution AROME runs, project a maximum temperature of 15°C in Paris today amid a passing frontal system bringing persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and westerly winds gusting to 25 km/h, driving the market-implied 99.4% probability for 18°C or below. This aligns with ensemble consensus from ECMWF and UK Met Office guidance, reflecting cooler Atlantic air masses typical for mid-April following last week's unseasonal warmth up to 26°C. Current observations show afternoon highs struggling near 13–14°C under overcast skies. While model agreement is strong, realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon clearing or reduced cloud forcing a 1–2°C uptick, though low-level wind shear limits upside potential; final measurements from Paris weather stations will resolve by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$181,660结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETMétéo-France's latest midday forecast models, including high-resolution AROME runs, project a maximum temperature of 15°C in Paris today amid a passing frontal system bringing persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and westerly winds gusting to 25 km/h, driving the market-implied 99.4% probability for 18°C or below. This aligns with ensemble consensus from ECMWF and UK Met Office guidance, reflecting cooler Atlantic air masses typical for mid-April following last week's unseasonal warmth up to 26°C. Current observations show afternoon highs struggling near 13–14°C under overcast skies. While model agreement is strong, realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon clearing or reduced cloud forcing a 1–2°C uptick, though low-level wind shear limits upside potential; final measurements from Paris weather stations will resolve by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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