Latest AEMET forecasts project Madrid's highest temperature today at around 22°C under overcast skies and light southeast winds up to 20 km/h, driving strong trader consensus with 80.5% implied probability on exactly 22°C as the peak. Current observations from AEMET stations like Retiro show midday readings near 19–20°C, with persistent cloud cover from an Atlantic flow suppressing diurnal heating despite a broader high-pressure ridge fueling spring warmth. Ensemble model runs refined overnight have converged on this outcome, down from earlier projections near 25°C, while 20% odds on 23°C or higher reflect potential late-afternoon clearing. Hourly data updates from official Retiro or Barajas stations through evening will finalize resolution amid typical April climatological highs averaging 18–20°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 11?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 11?
22°C 71.0%
23°C or higher 26.5%
21°C <1%
$98,714 交易量
$98,714 交易量
2026-04-11
21°C
<1%
22°C
71%
23°C or higher
27%
22°C 71.0%
23°C or higher 26.5%
21°C <1%
$98,714 交易量
$98,714 交易量
2026-04-11
21°C
$26,984 交易量
<1%
22°C
$14,217 交易量
71%
23°C or higher
$23,779 交易量
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET forecasts project Madrid's highest temperature today at around 22°C under overcast skies and light southeast winds up to 20 km/h, driving strong trader consensus with 80.5% implied probability on exactly 22°C as the peak. Current observations from AEMET stations like Retiro show midday readings near 19–20°C, with persistent cloud cover from an Atlantic flow suppressing diurnal heating despite a broader high-pressure ridge fueling spring warmth. Ensemble model runs refined overnight have converged on this outcome, down from earlier projections near 25°C, while 20% odds on 23°C or higher reflect potential late-afternoon clearing. Hourly data updates from official Retiro or Barajas stations through evening will finalize resolution amid typical April climatological highs averaging 18–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
交易量
$98,714结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET forecasts project Madrid's highest temperature today at around 22°C under overcast skies and light southeast winds up to 20 km/h, driving strong trader consensus with 80.5% implied probability on exactly 22°C as the peak. Current observations from AEMET stations like Retiro show midday readings near 19–20°C, with persistent cloud cover from an Atlantic flow suppressing diurnal heating despite a broader high-pressure ridge fueling spring warmth. Ensemble model runs refined overnight have converged on this outcome, down from earlier projections near 25°C, while 20% odds on 23°C or higher reflect potential late-afternoon clearing. Hourly data updates from official Retiro or Barajas stations through evening will finalize resolution amid typical April climatological highs averaging 18–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$98,714结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ETLatest AEMET forecasts project Madrid's highest temperature today at around 22°C under overcast skies and light southeast winds up to 20 km/h, driving strong trader consensus with 80.5% implied probability on exactly 22°C as the peak. Current observations from AEMET stations like Retiro show midday readings near 19–20°C, with persistent cloud cover from an Atlantic flow suppressing diurnal heating despite a broader high-pressure ridge fueling spring warmth. Ensemble model runs refined overnight have converged on this outcome, down from earlier projections near 25°C, while 20% odds on 23°C or higher reflect potential late-afternoon clearing. Hourly data updates from official Retiro or Barajas stations through evening will finalize resolution amid typical April climatological highs averaging 18–20°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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