Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via AccuWeather, show divergent guidance for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with AccuWeather projecting around 27°C under mostly sunny skies and low precipitation risk (5%), while some runs imply upside potential toward 30°C or higher amid a developing upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry warming. The South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended outlook describes partly cloudy conditions, cool to warm with isolated showers, introducing uncertainty from possible cloud cover or southerly sea breezes that could cap peaks near 21–22°C. Trader consensus reflects this spread, as berg wind-like föhn effects from the Cape Fold Mountains have historically spiked autumn highs above climatological norms (23°C average), but model disagreements on ridge strength and wind shear keep probabilities tightly clustered. New SAWS advisories and model updates expected April 12 will likely refine odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月13日开普敦气温最高?
4月13日开普敦气温最高?
29°C 21%
27°C 18%
28°C 18%
26°C 15%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
12%
24°C
12%
25°C
12%
26°C
15%
27°C
18%
28°C
18%
29°C
21%
30°C或更高
2%
29°C 21%
27°C 18%
28°C 18%
26°C 15%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
12%
24°C
12%
25°C
12%
26°C
15%
27°C
18%
28°C
18%
29°C
21%
30°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via AccuWeather, show divergent guidance for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with AccuWeather projecting around 27°C under mostly sunny skies and low precipitation risk (5%), while some runs imply upside potential toward 30°C or higher amid a developing upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry warming. The South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended outlook describes partly cloudy conditions, cool to warm with isolated showers, introducing uncertainty from possible cloud cover or southerly sea breezes that could cap peaks near 21–22°C. Trader consensus reflects this spread, as berg wind-like föhn effects from the Cape Fold Mountains have historically spiked autumn highs above climatological norms (23°C average), but model disagreements on ridge strength and wind shear keep probabilities tightly clustered. New SAWS advisories and model updates expected April 12 will likely refine odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题