Trader consensus assigns a 99.3% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) latest guidance—issued this morning—forecasting partly cloudy skies, isolated light rainfall until midday in central Israel, and a slight temperature drop, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs projecting a Ben Gurion Airport peak of 22°C. Current METAR observations at the airport show mid-teens Celsius amid southwest winds and cloud cover limiting solar insolation, consistent with coastal sea breeze effects tempering typical April highs around 23°C. Prolonged clearing could realistically challenge this by enabling 23°C+ heating, while increased overcast or showers might cap at 21°C; NOAA airport data through evening will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
22°C 99.4%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$134,732 交易量
$134,732 交易量
21°C
<1%
22°C
99%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.4%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$134,732 交易量
$134,732 交易量
21°C
<1%
22°C
99%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 99.3% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) latest guidance—issued this morning—forecasting partly cloudy skies, isolated light rainfall until midday in central Israel, and a slight temperature drop, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs projecting a Ben Gurion Airport peak of 22°C. Current METAR observations at the airport show mid-teens Celsius amid southwest winds and cloud cover limiting solar insolation, consistent with coastal sea breeze effects tempering typical April highs around 23°C. Prolonged clearing could realistically challenge this by enabling 23°C+ heating, while increased overcast or showers might cap at 21°C; NOAA airport data through evening will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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