National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project a Houston-area high temperature of around 80-82°F on April 13, driving the strong 81% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders align with this warm outlook amid a transition to persistent onshore flow delivering moist, subtropical air. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours confirm this pattern, with a building upper-level ridge southeast of Texas suppressing widespread rain while boosting temperatures 5-10°F above the mid-April climatological average of 79°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH). Scattered showers (30-50% chance through the weekend) introduce modest uncertainty, potentially capping peaks nearer 78-79°F as reflected in that outcome's 12% odds. Watch for Saturday's NWS forecast update and Sunday morning observations, as cloud cover or isolated storms could adjust trajectories before resolution based on official IAH measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 13?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 13?
80°F or higher 80%
78-79°F 10.5%
76-77°F 1.9%
74-75°F 1.6%
$16,438 交易量
$16,438 交易量
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
11%
80°F or higher
80%
80°F or higher 80%
78-79°F 10.5%
76-77°F 1.9%
74-75°F 1.6%
$16,438 交易量
$16,438 交易量
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
11%
80°F or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project a Houston-area high temperature of around 80-82°F on April 13, driving the strong 81% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders align with this warm outlook amid a transition to persistent onshore flow delivering moist, subtropical air. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours confirm this pattern, with a building upper-level ridge southeast of Texas suppressing widespread rain while boosting temperatures 5-10°F above the mid-April climatological average of 79°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH). Scattered showers (30-50% chance through the weekend) introduce modest uncertainty, potentially capping peaks nearer 78-79°F as reflected in that outcome's 12% odds. Watch for Saturday's NWS forecast update and Sunday morning observations, as cloud cover or isolated storms could adjust trajectories before resolution based on official IAH measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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