Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C today amid persistent sunny skies and a stable high-pressure system, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome with 100% implied probability. This exceeds earlier CWA forecasts of 28–31°C, as light westerly winds and low humidity (around 53%) fostered greater daytime heating than anticipated, consistent with April's climatological potential for highs up to 33°C during clear periods despite monthly averages near 25°C. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon surge from further cloud clearing, though diurnal cooling typically sets in by evening; final CWA daily data expected soon will lock resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
33°C 100.0%
36°C or higher <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$149,783 交易量
$149,783 交易量
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
36°C or higher <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$149,783 交易量
$149,783 交易量
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C today amid persistent sunny skies and a stable high-pressure system, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome with 100% implied probability. This exceeds earlier CWA forecasts of 28–31°C, as light westerly winds and low humidity (around 53%) fostered greater daytime heating than anticipated, consistent with April's climatological potential for highs up to 33°C during clear periods despite monthly averages near 25°C. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon surge from further cloud clearing, though diurnal cooling typically sets in by evening; final CWA daily data expected soon will lock resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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