The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a daytime high of 32°C in Taipei on April 13 under partly clear skies, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity, and abundant sunshine above April's typical 25°C average. Trader consensus reflects this with 31°C and 32°C tied at 25.5% implied probability each, highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty where model ensembles like those from CWA show 1°C spreads due to variables such as thin high-cloud cover reducing insolation, afternoon sea breeze timing moderating peak heating, and urban heat island effects in the Taipei Basin. Lower odds for 30°C or below stem from recent stable warm pattern, with CWA updates expected twice daily potentially shifting sentiment ahead of resolution via official station observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
32°C 28%
31°C 23%
29°C 18%
30°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
28°C or below
10%
29°C
18%
30°C
17%
31°C
26%
32°C
28%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 28%
31°C 23%
29°C 18%
30°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
28°C or below
$1,641 交易量
10%
29°C
$1,129 交易量
18%
30°C
$492 交易量
17%
31°C
$653 交易量
26%
32°C
$669 交易量
28%
33°C
$917 交易量
13%
34°C
$787 交易量
4%
35°C
$800 交易量
3%
36°C
$930 交易量
1%
37°C
$1,196 交易量
1%
38°C or higher
$642 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a daytime high of 32°C in Taipei on April 13 under partly clear skies, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity, and abundant sunshine above April's typical 25°C average. Trader consensus reflects this with 31°C and 32°C tied at 25.5% implied probability each, highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty where model ensembles like those from CWA show 1°C spreads due to variables such as thin high-cloud cover reducing insolation, afternoon sea breeze timing moderating peak heating, and urban heat island effects in the Taipei Basin. Lower odds for 30°C or below stem from recent stable warm pattern, with CWA updates expected twice daily potentially shifting sentiment ahead of resolution via official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$9,856结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a daytime high of 32°C in Taipei on April 13 under partly clear skies, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity, and abundant sunshine above April's typical 25°C average. Trader consensus reflects this with 31°C and 32°C tied at 25.5% implied probability each, highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty where model ensembles like those from CWA show 1°C spreads due to variables such as thin high-cloud cover reducing insolation, afternoon sea breeze timing moderating peak heating, and urban heat island effects in the Taipei Basin. Lower odds for 30°C or below stem from recent stable warm pattern, with CWA updates expected twice daily potentially shifting sentiment ahead of resolution via official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,856结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThe Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a daytime high of 32°C in Taipei on April 13 under partly clear skies, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity, and abundant sunshine above April's typical 25°C average. Trader consensus reflects this with 31°C and 32°C tied at 25.5% implied probability each, highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty where model ensembles like those from CWA show 1°C spreads due to variables such as thin high-cloud cover reducing insolation, afternoon sea breeze timing moderating peak heating, and urban heat island effects in the Taipei Basin. Lower odds for 30°C or below stem from recent stable warm pattern, with CWA updates expected twice daily potentially shifting sentiment ahead of resolution via official station observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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