NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center data shows quiet conditions prevailing as of April 10, 2026, with no active alerts for geomagnetic storms (G-scale), solar radiation storms (S-scale), or radio blackouts (R-scale) at major levels of 3 or higher—the thresholds defining major events for this market. The latest 27-day outlook forecasts moderate 10.7 cm radio flux rising modestly to 122 sfu by April 18, alongside low A-index values (mostly under 10) and maximum Kp indices of 6 on April 18, indicating potential G2 moderate geomagnetic activity but falling short of G3 strong storms. Absent potent coronal mass ejections or X-class flares from current small active regions, trader consensus implies a high likelihood of zero major events during April 12–18, consistent with Solar Cycle 25's post-peak decline; watch for Monday's updated outlook and daily model runs from SWPC for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)
8+ 49%
3 43%
<3 43%
7 42%
<3
43%
3
43%
4
42%
5
41%
6
41%
7
42%
8+
49%
8+ 49%
3 43%
<3 43%
7 42%
<3
43%
3
43%
4
42%
5
41%
6
41%
7
42%
8+
49%
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市场开放时间: Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center data shows quiet conditions prevailing as of April 10, 2026, with no active alerts for geomagnetic storms (G-scale), solar radiation storms (S-scale), or radio blackouts (R-scale) at major levels of 3 or higher—the thresholds defining major events for this market. The latest 27-day outlook forecasts moderate 10.7 cm radio flux rising modestly to 122 sfu by April 18, alongside low A-index values (mostly under 10) and maximum Kp indices of 6 on April 18, indicating potential G2 moderate geomagnetic activity but falling short of G3 strong storms. Absent potent coronal mass ejections or X-class flares from current small active regions, trader consensus implies a high likelihood of zero major events during April 12–18, consistent with Solar Cycle 25's post-peak decline; watch for Monday's updated outlook and daily model runs from SWPC for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题