Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 11?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,716 交易量
$120,716 交易量
2026-04-11
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,716 交易量
$120,716 交易量
2026-04-11
47°F or below
$9,123 交易量
No
48-49°F
$1,933 交易量
No
50-51°F
$1,929 交易量
No
52-53°F
$1,775 交易量
No
54-55°F
$803 交易量
No
56-57°F
$1,781 交易量
No
58-59°F
$1,731 交易量
No
60-61°F
$2,767 交易量
No
62-63°F
$5,013 交易量
No
64-65°F
$4,734 交易量
No
66°F or higher
$89,128 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$120,716结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$120,716结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题