National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 82°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on April 12, driving trader consensus to 77.5% implied probability for 76°F or higher amid a warm, humid southerly flow. This reflects model agreement from recent guidance, including the latest Area Forecast Discussion, projecting highs in the low 80s despite increasing severe thunderstorm risks—Level 2 of 5—over the I-35 corridor, with potential for large hail, gusty winds, and heavy rain that could cap peak heating via cloud cover. Overnight lows near 69°F and patchy morning fog add minor variability, but climatological April averages around 79°F support the warm bias. Updated model runs and NWS advisories expected by midday April 12 could refine odds as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 12?
76°F or higher 76%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 3.7%
70-71°F 2.1%
$13,132 交易量
$13,132 交易量
2026-04-12
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
15%
76°F or higher
76%
76°F or higher 76%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 3.7%
70-71°F 2.1%
$13,132 交易量
$13,132 交易量
2026-04-12
57°F or below
$1,125 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$1,773 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$1,460 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,191 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,101 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,226 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$590 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$895 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$1,021 交易量
4%
74-75°F
$928 交易量
15%
76°F or higher
$1,857 交易量
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 82°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on April 12, driving trader consensus to 77.5% implied probability for 76°F or higher amid a warm, humid southerly flow. This reflects model agreement from recent guidance, including the latest Area Forecast Discussion, projecting highs in the low 80s despite increasing severe thunderstorm risks—Level 2 of 5—over the I-35 corridor, with potential for large hail, gusty winds, and heavy rain that could cap peak heating via cloud cover. Overnight lows near 69°F and patchy morning fog add minor variability, but climatological April averages around 79°F support the warm bias. Updated model runs and NWS advisories expected by midday April 12 could refine odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$13,132结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 82°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on April 12, driving trader consensus to 77.5% implied probability for 76°F or higher amid a warm, humid southerly flow. This reflects model agreement from recent guidance, including the latest Area Forecast Discussion, projecting highs in the low 80s despite increasing severe thunderstorm risks—Level 2 of 5—over the I-35 corridor, with potential for large hail, gusty winds, and heavy rain that could cap peak heating via cloud cover. Overnight lows near 69°F and patchy morning fog add minor variability, but climatological April averages around 79°F support the warm bias. Updated model runs and NWS advisories expected by midday April 12 could refine odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,132结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 82°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on April 12, driving trader consensus to 77.5% implied probability for 76°F or higher amid a warm, humid southerly flow. This reflects model agreement from recent guidance, including the latest Area Forecast Discussion, projecting highs in the low 80s despite increasing severe thunderstorm risks—Level 2 of 5—over the I-35 corridor, with potential for large hail, gusty winds, and heavy rain that could cap peak heating via cloud cover. Overnight lows near 69°F and patchy morning fog add minor variability, but climatological April averages around 79°F support the warm bias. Updated model runs and NWS advisories expected by midday April 12 could refine odds as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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