Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 11, projects maximum temperatures of 26–29°C on April 13 under a southerly airstream bringing hot conditions with sunny periods and low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus toward 28°C and 29°C as co-leading outcomes at equal 33.5% implied probabilities. This tight split reflects short-term forecast uncertainty, where sustained south winds and minimal cloud cover could push peaks to 29°C, while sea breezes or higher humidity might cap them at 28°C; urban heat island effects in central areas amplify urban maxima beyond rural stations. Recent April 11 observations hit 27°C highs amid similar flow, aligning with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures influenced by warming ENSO trends. Watch HKO daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?
29°C 34%
28°C 33%
27°C 17.3%
30°C 12%
$17,081 交易量
$17,081 交易量
2026-04-13
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
17%
28°C
33%
29°C
34%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
7%
29°C 34%
28°C 33%
27°C 17.3%
30°C 12%
$17,081 交易量
$17,081 交易量
2026-04-13
21°C or below
$1,585 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,161 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,280 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,695 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,457 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,456 交易量
8%
27°C
$1,998 交易量
17%
28°C
$848 交易量
33%
29°C
$604 交易量
34%
30°C
$1,008 交易量
12%
31°C or higher
$989 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 11, projects maximum temperatures of 26–29°C on April 13 under a southerly airstream bringing hot conditions with sunny periods and low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus toward 28°C and 29°C as co-leading outcomes at equal 33.5% implied probabilities. This tight split reflects short-term forecast uncertainty, where sustained south winds and minimal cloud cover could push peaks to 29°C, while sea breezes or higher humidity might cap them at 28°C; urban heat island effects in central areas amplify urban maxima beyond rural stations. Recent April 11 observations hit 27°C highs amid similar flow, aligning with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures influenced by warming ENSO trends. Watch HKO daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$17,081结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 11, projects maximum temperatures of 26–29°C on April 13 under a southerly airstream bringing hot conditions with sunny periods and low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus toward 28°C and 29°C as co-leading outcomes at equal 33.5% implied probabilities. This tight split reflects short-term forecast uncertainty, where sustained south winds and minimal cloud cover could push peaks to 29°C, while sea breezes or higher humidity might cap them at 28°C; urban heat island effects in central areas amplify urban maxima beyond rural stations. Recent April 11 observations hit 27°C highs amid similar flow, aligning with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures influenced by warming ENSO trends. Watch HKO daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,081结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 11, projects maximum temperatures of 26–29°C on April 13 under a southerly airstream bringing hot conditions with sunny periods and low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus toward 28°C and 29°C as co-leading outcomes at equal 33.5% implied probabilities. This tight split reflects short-term forecast uncertainty, where sustained south winds and minimal cloud cover could push peaks to 29°C, while sea breezes or higher humidity might cap them at 28°C; urban heat island effects in central areas amplify urban maxima beyond rural stations. Recent April 11 observations hit 27°C highs amid similar flow, aligning with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures influenced by warming ENSO trends. Watch HKO daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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