Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds limiting solar insolation. Over the past 24 hours, a cold front has delivered overnight rain and cooler air masses, sharply reducing temperatures from yesterday's mid-20s peaks typical for early April in Wuhan, where historical averages hover around 22°C. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus acknowledges minor uncertainties, such as unexpected afternoon clearing potentially nudging highs to 23°C or heavier precipitation capping below 22°C, with official airport observations providing final resolution by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$76,025 交易量
$76,025 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$76,025 交易量
$76,025 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds limiting solar insolation. Over the past 24 hours, a cold front has delivered overnight rain and cooler air masses, sharply reducing temperatures from yesterday's mid-20s peaks typical for early April in Wuhan, where historical averages hover around 22°C. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus acknowledges minor uncertainties, such as unexpected afternoon clearing potentially nudging highs to 23°C or heavier precipitation capping below 22°C, with official airport observations providing final resolution by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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