Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ensembles from global forecasting centers, project a daytime high of 23-25°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 23°C at 44.5% and 24°C at 28.5% implied probabilities. This positioning reflects recent observational data showing early April highs around 20-22°C amid typical spring warming, driven by strengthening southerly winds and seasonal solar insolation increases, though partial cloud cover and stray showers introduce modest cooling uncertainty. Historical mid-April averages hover near 22-24°C, aligning with current model consensus; traders anticipate minimal shifts barring unexpected convective activity. Hourly airport readings will finalize resolution, with updates expected overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
23°C 43%
24°C 26%
22°C 24%
25°C 8%
$19,884 交易量
$19,884 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
24%
23°C
43%
24°C
26%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
4%
23°C 43%
24°C 26%
22°C 24%
25°C 8%
$19,884 交易量
$19,884 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
24%
23°C
43%
24°C
26%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ensembles from global forecasting centers, project a daytime high of 23-25°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 23°C at 44.5% and 24°C at 28.5% implied probabilities. This positioning reflects recent observational data showing early April highs around 20-22°C amid typical spring warming, driven by strengthening southerly winds and seasonal solar insolation increases, though partial cloud cover and stray showers introduce modest cooling uncertainty. Historical mid-April averages hover near 22-24°C, aligning with current model consensus; traders anticipate minimal shifts barring unexpected convective activity. Hourly airport readings will finalize resolution, with updates expected overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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