Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration indicate daytime highs of 21–24°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 13, driving trader consensus with 22°C (31% implied probability), 23°C (28%), and 21°C (24.5%) closely clustered. This tight spread reflects short-range uncertainty from an approaching low-pressure system introducing persistent cloud cover and possible light rain showers, which could suppress solar insolation and cap peak temperatures below the mid-April climatological average of around 22°C. Differentiating factors include model divergences on precipitation timing and boundary layer mixing under light winds; ECMWF leans slightly cooler, while GFS shows marginally higher potential. Updated 00Z runs on April 12 will provide refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
22°C 32%
23°C 27%
21°C 26%
24°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
26%
22°C
32%
23°C
27%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 32%
23°C 27%
21°C 26%
24°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
26%
22°C
32%
23°C
27%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration indicate daytime highs of 21–24°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 13, driving trader consensus with 22°C (31% implied probability), 23°C (28%), and 21°C (24.5%) closely clustered. This tight spread reflects short-range uncertainty from an approaching low-pressure system introducing persistent cloud cover and possible light rain showers, which could suppress solar insolation and cap peak temperatures below the mid-April climatological average of around 22°C. Differentiating factors include model divergences on precipitation timing and boundary layer mixing under light winds; ECMWF leans slightly cooler, while GFS shows marginally higher potential. Updated 00Z runs on April 12 will provide refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题