Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 26°C high in Chengdu on April 11, driven by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration at Shuangliu International Airport station (54511), where temperatures peaked at 25.6°C around 17:00 local time amid initial sunny conditions before cloud cover increased. This aligns with short-range forecast models projecting a cap under moderate spring warming in the Sichuan Basin, following April 10's 25°C high and recent rainy cool-down from a passing frontal system suppressing insolation. Historical April averages (21–23°C highs) and current light winds reinforce stability. Realistic challenges include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes, with final Wunderground daily records expected by midnight to confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$189,658 交易量
$189,658 交易量
2026-04-11
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$189,658 交易量
$189,658 交易量
2026-04-11
22°C or below
$8,773 交易量
No
23°C
$8,427 交易量
No
24°C
$9,286 交易量
No
25°C
$80,120 交易量
No
26°C
$18,968 交易量
Yes
27°C
$19,025 交易量
No
28°C
$21,832 交易量
No
29°C
$11,214 交易量
No
30°C
$4,152 交易量
No
31°C
$4,693 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$3,168 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 26°C high in Chengdu on April 11, driven by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration at Shuangliu International Airport station (54511), where temperatures peaked at 25.6°C around 17:00 local time amid initial sunny conditions before cloud cover increased. This aligns with short-range forecast models projecting a cap under moderate spring warming in the Sichuan Basin, following April 10's 25°C high and recent rainy cool-down from a passing frontal system suppressing insolation. Historical April averages (21–23°C highs) and current light winds reinforce stability. Realistic challenges include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes, with final Wunderground daily records expected by midnight to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
交易量
$189,658结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 26°C high in Chengdu on April 11, driven by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration at Shuangliu International Airport station (54511), where temperatures peaked at 25.6°C around 17:00 local time amid initial sunny conditions before cloud cover increased. This aligns with short-range forecast models projecting a cap under moderate spring warming in the Sichuan Basin, following April 10's 25°C high and recent rainy cool-down from a passing frontal system suppressing insolation. Historical April averages (21–23°C highs) and current light winds reinforce stability. Realistic challenges include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes, with final Wunderground daily records expected by midnight to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$189,658结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 26°C high in Chengdu on April 11, driven by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration at Shuangliu International Airport station (54511), where temperatures peaked at 25.6°C around 17:00 local time amid initial sunny conditions before cloud cover increased. This aligns with short-range forecast models projecting a cap under moderate spring warming in the Sichuan Basin, following April 10's 25°C high and recent rainy cool-down from a passing frontal system suppressing insolation. Historical April averages (21–23°C highs) and current light winds reinforce stability. Realistic challenges include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes, with final Wunderground daily records expected by midnight to confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题