Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, AccuWeather, and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13 at around 23°C, driving trader consensus with that outcome leading at 27% implied probability amid tight odds for 21–24°C. Persistent cloud cover from Sichuan Basin orographic lift, combined with a 70% chance of morning showers per AccuWeather, tempers peak heating despite mild upper-air temperatures, creating differentiation: thicker clouds could cap at 22°C or below, while partial clearing might push to 24°C. Hourly forecasts peak at 23°C mid-afternoon under overcast skies. Monitor evening model runs and CMA updates for shifts in precipitation timing before resolution at official stations like Shuangliu Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
23°C 30%
22°C 26%
24°C 17%
21°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
16%
22°C
26%
23°C
30%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 30%
22°C 26%
24°C 17%
21°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
16%
22°C
26%
23°C
30%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, AccuWeather, and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13 at around 23°C, driving trader consensus with that outcome leading at 27% implied probability amid tight odds for 21–24°C. Persistent cloud cover from Sichuan Basin orographic lift, combined with a 70% chance of morning showers per AccuWeather, tempers peak heating despite mild upper-air temperatures, creating differentiation: thicker clouds could cap at 22°C or below, while partial clearing might push to 24°C. Hourly forecasts peak at 23°C mid-afternoon under overcast skies. Monitor evening model runs and CMA updates for shifts in precipitation timing before resolution at official stations like Shuangliu Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题