Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62.5% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, driven by the latest forecasts from China Meteorological Administration-linked models projecting a daytime peak near 25°C under cloudy skies following recent observed highs of 23–24°C on April 10–11 amid overcast conditions and morning readings in the mid-teens°C. This positioning reflects springtime warming trends in the Sichuan Basin, where April climatology typically sees highs of 20–26°C, with light rain risks potentially capping intensity—accounting for the 18% odds on exactly 23°C and diminishing probabilities below amid low cloud suppression likelihood. Airport station observations at Shuangliu International will finalize resolution, with short-range forecast uncertainty centered on cloud cover evolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
24°C or higher 60%
23°C 18%
22°C 11%
21°C 2.7%
$22,482 交易量
$22,482 交易量
2026-04-12
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
60%
24°C or higher 60%
23°C 18%
22°C 11%
21°C 2.7%
$22,482 交易量
$22,482 交易量
2026-04-12
14°C or below
$1,125 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,808 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,583 交易量
<1%
17°C
$850 交易量
<1%
18°C
$4,029 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,446 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,768 交易量
1%
21°C
$1,539 交易量
3%
22°C
$976 交易量
11%
23°C
$1,896 交易量
18%
24°C or higher
$3,471 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62.5% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, driven by the latest forecasts from China Meteorological Administration-linked models projecting a daytime peak near 25°C under cloudy skies following recent observed highs of 23–24°C on April 10–11 amid overcast conditions and morning readings in the mid-teens°C. This positioning reflects springtime warming trends in the Sichuan Basin, where April climatology typically sees highs of 20–26°C, with light rain risks potentially capping intensity—accounting for the 18% odds on exactly 23°C and diminishing probabilities below amid low cloud suppression likelihood. Airport station observations at Shuangliu International will finalize resolution, with short-range forecast uncertainty centered on cloud cover evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$22,482结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62.5% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, driven by the latest forecasts from China Meteorological Administration-linked models projecting a daytime peak near 25°C under cloudy skies following recent observed highs of 23–24°C on April 10–11 amid overcast conditions and morning readings in the mid-teens°C. This positioning reflects springtime warming trends in the Sichuan Basin, where April climatology typically sees highs of 20–26°C, with light rain risks potentially capping intensity—accounting for the 18% odds on exactly 23°C and diminishing probabilities below amid low cloud suppression likelihood. Airport station observations at Shuangliu International will finalize resolution, with short-range forecast uncertainty centered on cloud cover evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$22,482结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62.5% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, driven by the latest forecasts from China Meteorological Administration-linked models projecting a daytime peak near 25°C under cloudy skies following recent observed highs of 23–24°C on April 10–11 amid overcast conditions and morning readings in the mid-teens°C. This positioning reflects springtime warming trends in the Sichuan Basin, where April climatology typically sees highs of 20–26°C, with light rain risks potentially capping intensity—accounting for the 18% odds on exactly 23°C and diminishing probabilities below amid low cloud suppression likelihood. Airport station observations at Shuangliu International will finalize resolution, with short-range forecast uncertainty centered on cloud cover evolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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