Latest Met Office forecasts for London indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C on April 12 amid sunny intervals transitioning to afternoon showers with 30-50% precipitation odds, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 14°C (40.5%) over 15°C (36.5%). This tight race reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing: earlier clearing could boost insolation for a 15°C peak around 2-4pm, while persistent low cloud or thundery downpours—possible per BBC outlook—would cap it at 14°C or below. Following mid-week record early April warmth exceeding 26°C, a frontal system has ushered cooler, near-average conditions (historical April highs ~13°C), with winds moderating heat. Expect rapid shifts from overnight forecast updates as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月12日伦敦气温最高?
4月12日伦敦气温最高?
14°C 40%
15°C 36%
13°C 10.0%
16°C 9.2%
$86,131 交易量
$86,131 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
40%
15°C
36%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 40%
15°C 36%
13°C 10.0%
16°C 9.2%
$86,131 交易量
$86,131 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
40%
15°C
36%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Met Office forecasts for London indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C on April 12 amid sunny intervals transitioning to afternoon showers with 30-50% precipitation odds, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 14°C (40.5%) over 15°C (36.5%). This tight race reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing: earlier clearing could boost insolation for a 15°C peak around 2-4pm, while persistent low cloud or thundery downpours—possible per BBC outlook—would cap it at 14°C or below. Following mid-week record early April warmth exceeding 26°C, a frontal system has ushered cooler, near-average conditions (historical April highs ~13°C), with winds moderating heat. Expect rapid shifts from overnight forecast updates as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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