India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow on April 11, 2026, under clear skies with strong daytime winds, driving the market-implied 99.1% probability for this outcome as trader consensus reflects this authoritative guidance and supporting model runs from sources like AccuWeather projecting highs near 96°F (35.6°C). Yesterday's observed peak of 32.1°C, 5.1°C below normal, underscores recent cooler anomalies, but abundant sunshine and hazy conditions today enable radiative heating to the expected level, consistent with April climatology where daily highs average 36–38°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or intensified winds enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling to cap at 34°C, or prolonged clear conditions pushing toward 36°C; final airport observations by evening will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 11?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 11?
35°C 99.2%
36°C <1%
38°C <1%
37°C <1%
$82,017 交易量
$82,017 交易量
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.2%
36°C <1%
38°C <1%
37°C <1%
$82,017 交易量
$82,017 交易量
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow on April 11, 2026, under clear skies with strong daytime winds, driving the market-implied 99.1% probability for this outcome as trader consensus reflects this authoritative guidance and supporting model runs from sources like AccuWeather projecting highs near 96°F (35.6°C). Yesterday's observed peak of 32.1°C, 5.1°C below normal, underscores recent cooler anomalies, but abundant sunshine and hazy conditions today enable radiative heating to the expected level, consistent with April climatology where daily highs average 36–38°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or intensified winds enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling to cap at 34°C, or prolonged clear conditions pushing toward 36°C; final airport observations by evening will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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