India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow on April 12 under clear skies with strong daytime winds, following recent below-normal readings like 32°C on April 10 amid an unseasonal cool spell from northerly flows. This official guidance clusters trader consensus around 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (33.5%), slightly hedging above the projection due to historical mid-April averages near 38°C, potential urban heat island effects, and minor variances across global models like ECMWF showing peaks to 36°C. Observational data from Lucknow Airport will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty given the short lead time and stable high-pressure conditions limiting volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
36°C 50%
37°C 32%
35°C 11%
38°C 4.3%
$16,255 交易量
$16,255 交易量
34°C or below
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
50%
37°C
32%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 50%
37°C 32%
35°C 11%
38°C 4.3%
$16,255 交易量
$16,255 交易量
34°C or below
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
50%
37°C
32%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow on April 12 under clear skies with strong daytime winds, following recent below-normal readings like 32°C on April 10 amid an unseasonal cool spell from northerly flows. This official guidance clusters trader consensus around 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (33.5%), slightly hedging above the projection due to historical mid-April averages near 38°C, potential urban heat island effects, and minor variances across global models like ECMWF showing peaks to 36°C. Observational data from Lucknow Airport will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty given the short lead time and stable high-pressure conditions limiting volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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