Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 36°C (44.5% implied probability) or 37°C (34.5%) in Lucknow on April 13, driven by the India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s April 11 bulletin forecasting a maximum around 36°C amid clear skies and strong daytime winds (25-40 km/h), which temper extreme heating by enhancing mixing in the boundary layer. This follows a recent cool interlude earlier in the week, where maximums fell to 30.5°C—6.7°C below normal—due to transient cloud cover and gusts, but dry conditions now support a rebound toward early April climatological norms of 35-37°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk, though minor haze could cap peaks; watch IMD's afternoon update for refinements ahead of official Lucknow observatory measurement resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 13?
36°C 45%
37°C 37%
38°C 8%
35°C 7%
$14,619 交易量
$14,619 交易量
34°C or below
4%
35°C
7%
36°C
45%
37°C
37%
38°C
8%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
37°C 37%
38°C 8%
35°C 7%
$14,619 交易量
$14,619 交易量
34°C or below
4%
35°C
7%
36°C
45%
37°C
37%
38°C
8%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 36°C (44.5% implied probability) or 37°C (34.5%) in Lucknow on April 13, driven by the India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s April 11 bulletin forecasting a maximum around 36°C amid clear skies and strong daytime winds (25-40 km/h), which temper extreme heating by enhancing mixing in the boundary layer. This follows a recent cool interlude earlier in the week, where maximums fell to 30.5°C—6.7°C below normal—due to transient cloud cover and gusts, but dry conditions now support a rebound toward early April climatological norms of 35-37°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk, though minor haze could cap peaks; watch IMD's afternoon update for refinements ahead of official Lucknow observatory measurement resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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