Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 66-67°F (49.5% implied probability) at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) today, aligning closely with the National Weather Service (NWS) point forecast of around 66°F under mostly sunny skies following overnight clouds. This positioning stems from persistent coastal marine layer stratus clouds and light onshore winds suppressing daytime heating, a common April pattern reinforced by recent midweek showers that cooled the region and stabilized upper-air temperatures. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show limited divergence, with 68-69°F (28.5%) viable if the layer burns off earlier than expected, while lower outcomes reflect potential lingering clouds. Real-time hourly observations from NWS will refine the peak as the afternoon progresses, amid climatological April highs averaging 68°F at LAX.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 11?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 11?
66-67°F 48%
68-69°F 29%
64-65°F 18%
70-71°F 6.8%
$34,584 交易量
$34,584 交易量
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 48%
68-69°F 29%
64-65°F 18%
70-71°F 6.8%
$34,584 交易量
$34,584 交易量
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 66-67°F (49.5% implied probability) at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) today, aligning closely with the National Weather Service (NWS) point forecast of around 66°F under mostly sunny skies following overnight clouds. This positioning stems from persistent coastal marine layer stratus clouds and light onshore winds suppressing daytime heating, a common April pattern reinforced by recent midweek showers that cooled the region and stabilized upper-air temperatures. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show limited divergence, with 68-69°F (28.5%) viable if the layer burns off earlier than expected, while lower outcomes reflect potential lingering clouds. Real-time hourly observations from NWS will refine the peak as the afternoon progresses, amid climatological April highs averaging 68°F at LAX.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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