Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 41.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 64-65°F at Los Angeles International Airport on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of persistent marine layer—low stratus clouds advected by moderate onshore southwest winds of 10-15 kt—limiting diurnal heating along the coast. Recent area forecast discussions note a cooler-than-normal pattern persisting from earlier in the week, with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converging on afternoon peaks near 64°F amid partial clearing expected but slower inland burn-off. Historical April averages hover around 68°F, but current synoptic setup favors subdued warming; monitor overnight NWS updates and morning observations for potential shifts toward 66-67°F if clearing accelerates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 28%
66-67°F 24%
60-61°F 6.2%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 28%
66-67°F 24%
60-61°F 6.2%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
55°F or below
$1,842 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$1,237 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$982 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$595 交易量
6%
62-63°F
$653 交易量
28%
64-65°F
$324 交易量
42%
66-67°F
$520 交易量
24%
68-69°F
$427 交易量
5%
70-71°F
$289 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$1,009 交易量
1%
74°F or higher
$791 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 41.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 64-65°F at Los Angeles International Airport on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of persistent marine layer—low stratus clouds advected by moderate onshore southwest winds of 10-15 kt—limiting diurnal heating along the coast. Recent area forecast discussions note a cooler-than-normal pattern persisting from earlier in the week, with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converging on afternoon peaks near 64°F amid partial clearing expected but slower inland burn-off. Historical April averages hover around 68°F, but current synoptic setup favors subdued warming; monitor overnight NWS updates and morning observations for potential shifts toward 66-67°F if clearing accelerates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$8,669结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 41.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 64-65°F at Los Angeles International Airport on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of persistent marine layer—low stratus clouds advected by moderate onshore southwest winds of 10-15 kt—limiting diurnal heating along the coast. Recent area forecast discussions note a cooler-than-normal pattern persisting from earlier in the week, with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converging on afternoon peaks near 64°F amid partial clearing expected but slower inland burn-off. Historical April averages hover around 68°F, but current synoptic setup favors subdued warming; monitor overnight NWS updates and morning observations for potential shifts toward 66-67°F if clearing accelerates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,669结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 41.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 64-65°F at Los Angeles International Airport on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of persistent marine layer—low stratus clouds advected by moderate onshore southwest winds of 10-15 kt—limiting diurnal heating along the coast. Recent area forecast discussions note a cooler-than-normal pattern persisting from earlier in the week, with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converging on afternoon peaks near 64°F amid partial clearing expected but slower inland burn-off. Historical April averages hover around 68°F, but current synoptic setup favors subdued warming; monitor overnight NWS updates and morning observations for potential shifts toward 66-67°F if clearing accelerates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题