Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 11, with 99.9% implied probability, backed by observational data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport and the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance. Persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds have suppressed the diurnal temperature rise, capping the maximum at 20°C amid post-frontal cooling—conditions confirmed in the National Meteorological Center's 20:00 update forecasting a 17–24°C range but aligning with recorded peaks. This setup deviates from April's climatological average high of 23°C due to reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing solar heating to push readings to 21°C, though model consensus indicates stable overcast through evening, minimizing such risks ahead of final daily observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 11?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 11?
20°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,046 交易量
$82,046 交易量
2026-04-11
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,046 交易量
$82,046 交易量
2026-04-11
20°C
$14,546 交易量
100%
21°C
$10,533 交易量
<1%
22°C
$9,123 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,128 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5,058 交易量
<1%
25°C
$7,982 交易量
<1%
26°C
$6,763 交易量
<1%
27°C
$7,169 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,939 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,242 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 11, with 99.9% implied probability, backed by observational data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport and the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance. Persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds have suppressed the diurnal temperature rise, capping the maximum at 20°C amid post-frontal cooling—conditions confirmed in the National Meteorological Center's 20:00 update forecasting a 17–24°C range but aligning with recorded peaks. This setup deviates from April's climatological average high of 23°C due to reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing solar heating to push readings to 21°C, though model consensus indicates stable overcast through evening, minimizing such risks ahead of final daily observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$82,046结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 11, with 99.9% implied probability, backed by observational data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport and the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance. Persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds have suppressed the diurnal temperature rise, capping the maximum at 20°C amid post-frontal cooling—conditions confirmed in the National Meteorological Center's 20:00 update forecasting a 17–24°C range but aligning with recorded peaks. This setup deviates from April's climatological average high of 23°C due to reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing solar heating to push readings to 21°C, though model consensus indicates stable overcast through evening, minimizing such risks ahead of final daily observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$82,046结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 11, with 99.9% implied probability, backed by observational data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport and the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance. Persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds have suppressed the diurnal temperature rise, capping the maximum at 20°C amid post-frontal cooling—conditions confirmed in the National Meteorological Center's 20:00 update forecasting a 17–24°C range but aligning with recorded peaks. This setup deviates from April's climatological average high of 23°C due to reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing solar heating to push readings to 21°C, though model consensus indicates stable overcast through evening, minimizing such risks ahead of final daily observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题