Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated this morning, projects Tokyo's high temperature reaching 26-27°C today under mostly clear skies and northwesterly winds fostering a rapid warm-up from yesterday's 20°C peak at Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data. This positions 25°C as the overwhelming trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus for solar heating amid high pressure but accounting for potential moderation from local sea breezes or airport microclimate, which often caps peaks slightly below broader urban forecasts. Lower outcomes below 24°C carry negligible odds given climatological spring norms exceeding 20°C on such days. Real-time hourly observations will refine exact positioning as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 11?
25°C 86%
26°C or higher 16%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$203,623 交易量
$203,623 交易量
2026-04-11
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
86%
26°C or higher
16%
25°C 86%
26°C or higher 16%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$203,623 交易量
$203,623 交易量
2026-04-11
22°C
$38,788 交易量
<1%
23°C
$20,445 交易量
<1%
24°C
$21,861 交易量
<1%
25°C
$11,036 交易量
86%
26°C or higher
$21,475 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated this morning, projects Tokyo's high temperature reaching 26-27°C today under mostly clear skies and northwesterly winds fostering a rapid warm-up from yesterday's 20°C peak at Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data. This positions 25°C as the overwhelming trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus for solar heating amid high pressure but accounting for potential moderation from local sea breezes or airport microclimate, which often caps peaks slightly below broader urban forecasts. Lower outcomes below 24°C carry negligible odds given climatological spring norms exceeding 20°C on such days. Real-time hourly observations will refine exact positioning as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$203,623结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated this morning, projects Tokyo's high temperature reaching 26-27°C today under mostly clear skies and northwesterly winds fostering a rapid warm-up from yesterday's 20°C peak at Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data. This positions 25°C as the overwhelming trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus for solar heating amid high pressure but accounting for potential moderation from local sea breezes or airport microclimate, which often caps peaks slightly below broader urban forecasts. Lower outcomes below 24°C carry negligible odds given climatological spring norms exceeding 20°C on such days. Real-time hourly observations will refine exact positioning as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$203,623结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated this morning, projects Tokyo's high temperature reaching 26-27°C today under mostly clear skies and northwesterly winds fostering a rapid warm-up from yesterday's 20°C peak at Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data. This positions 25°C as the overwhelming trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus for solar heating amid high pressure but accounting for potential moderation from local sea breezes or airport microclimate, which often caps peaks slightly below broader urban forecasts. Lower outcomes below 24°C carry negligible odds given climatological spring norms exceeding 20°C on such days. Real-time hourly observations will refine exact positioning as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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