Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Tokyo on April 12 (47% implied probability), closely trailed by 20°C (33%), driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts projecting daytime highs near 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show Tokyo highs around 20°C with southerly winds advecting mild maritime air, elevating temperatures above mid-April climatological averages of 18–19°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models exhibit tight agreement with minimal spread (20–22°C), though increasing cloudiness late in the day could suppress peaks beyond 22°C. Official JMA data releases tomorrow will confirm the peak, resolving market uncertainty inherent in boundary-layer forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?
21°C 49%
20°C 35%
22°C 9%
19°C 7.0%
$57,970 交易量
$57,970 交易量
2026-04-12
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
35%
21°C
49%
22°C
9%
23°C or higher
3%
21°C 49%
20°C 35%
22°C 9%
19°C 7.0%
$57,970 交易量
$57,970 交易量
2026-04-12
18°C
$6,565 交易量
1%
19°C
$5,488 交易量
7%
20°C
$3,291 交易量
35%
21°C
$4,116 交易量
49%
22°C
$4,182 交易量
9%
23°C or higher
$6,487 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Tokyo on April 12 (47% implied probability), closely trailed by 20°C (33%), driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts projecting daytime highs near 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show Tokyo highs around 20°C with southerly winds advecting mild maritime air, elevating temperatures above mid-April climatological averages of 18–19°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models exhibit tight agreement with minimal spread (20–22°C), though increasing cloudiness late in the day could suppress peaks beyond 22°C. Official JMA data releases tomorrow will confirm the peak, resolving market uncertainty inherent in boundary-layer forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$57,970结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Tokyo on April 12 (47% implied probability), closely trailed by 20°C (33%), driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts projecting daytime highs near 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show Tokyo highs around 20°C with southerly winds advecting mild maritime air, elevating temperatures above mid-April climatological averages of 18–19°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models exhibit tight agreement with minimal spread (20–22°C), though increasing cloudiness late in the day could suppress peaks beyond 22°C. Official JMA data releases tomorrow will confirm the peak, resolving market uncertainty inherent in boundary-layer forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$57,970结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Tokyo on April 12 (47% implied probability), closely trailed by 20°C (33%), driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts projecting daytime highs near 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show Tokyo highs around 20°C with southerly winds advecting mild maritime air, elevating temperatures above mid-April climatological averages of 18–19°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models exhibit tight agreement with minimal spread (20–22°C), though increasing cloudiness late in the day could suppress peaks beyond 22°C. Official JMA data releases tomorrow will confirm the peak, resolving market uncertainty inherent in boundary-layer forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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