Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued at 11:00 AM EDT on April 11, pins Toronto's high temperature at 10°C under sunny skies with light north winds around 10-20 km/h, aligning with trader consensus at over 90% market-implied probability. Observational data from Toronto Pearson International Airport, the likely resolution station, shows mid-afternoon readings of 8°C amid mainly sunny conditions and high UV index, tracking diurnal heating patterns typical for post-frontal cool air masses in early spring—averaging 11°C historically but suppressed today by lingering northerly flow. Model consensus from recent runs supports this, with peak solar insolation expected 3-5 PM. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly strong afternoon warming pushing to 11°C (10% odds) or increased cloud cover capping at 9°C, pending hourly updates through evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on April 11?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 11?
10°C 79%
11°C 15%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$90,289 交易量
$90,289 交易量
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
79%
11°C
21%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 79%
11°C 15%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$90,289 交易量
$90,289 交易量
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
79%
11°C
21%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued at 11:00 AM EDT on April 11, pins Toronto's high temperature at 10°C under sunny skies with light north winds around 10-20 km/h, aligning with trader consensus at over 90% market-implied probability. Observational data from Toronto Pearson International Airport, the likely resolution station, shows mid-afternoon readings of 8°C amid mainly sunny conditions and high UV index, tracking diurnal heating patterns typical for post-frontal cool air masses in early spring—averaging 11°C historically but suppressed today by lingering northerly flow. Model consensus from recent runs supports this, with peak solar insolation expected 3-5 PM. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly strong afternoon warming pushing to 11°C (10% odds) or increased cloud cover capping at 9°C, pending hourly updates through evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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