Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, driven by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) weather station—the market's resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 25°C before temperatures declined amid partial cloud cover and typical autumnal diurnal cooling. INMET data up to 15h Brasília time corroborates this preliminary maximum, aligning with model forecasts from the institute projecting highs of 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions with low wind shear. Historical April climatology at SBGR averages 25°C daily highs, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing renewed solar heating before sunset around 18h, though current satellite imagery shows persistent cloudiness limiting this potential. Final INMET confirmation expected tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,935 交易量
$69,935 交易量
2026-04-11
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,935 交易量
$69,935 交易量
2026-04-11
25°C
$11,486 交易量
100%
26°C
$7,937 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,293 交易量
<1%
28°C
$5,961 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$5,466 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, driven by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) weather station—the market's resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 25°C before temperatures declined amid partial cloud cover and typical autumnal diurnal cooling. INMET data up to 15h Brasília time corroborates this preliminary maximum, aligning with model forecasts from the institute projecting highs of 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions with low wind shear. Historical April climatology at SBGR averages 25°C daily highs, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing renewed solar heating before sunset around 18h, though current satellite imagery shows persistent cloudiness limiting this potential. Final INMET confirmation expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$69,935结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, driven by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) weather station—the market's resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 25°C before temperatures declined amid partial cloud cover and typical autumnal diurnal cooling. INMET data up to 15h Brasília time corroborates this preliminary maximum, aligning with model forecasts from the institute projecting highs of 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions with low wind shear. Historical April climatology at SBGR averages 25°C daily highs, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing renewed solar heating before sunset around 18h, though current satellite imagery shows persistent cloudiness limiting this potential. Final INMET confirmation expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$69,935结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, driven by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) weather station—the market's resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 25°C before temperatures declined amid partial cloud cover and typical autumnal diurnal cooling. INMET data up to 15h Brasília time corroborates this preliminary maximum, aligning with model forecasts from the institute projecting highs of 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions with low wind shear. Historical April climatology at SBGR averages 25°C daily highs, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing renewed solar heating before sunset around 18h, though current satellite imagery shows persistent cloudiness limiting this potential. Final INMET confirmation expected tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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