**INMET's latest forecast for São Paulo on April 13 projects a maximum temperature of 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the slight market edge for 28°C or higher at 39.5% implied probability over 27°C at 34%, as ensemble models including ECMWF IFS and GFS converge closer to 27°C amid lingering uncertainty from variable cloud cover and urban heat island amplification in the city.** This tight trader consensus reflects recovery from a cool front that capped April 10 highs at around 21°C—contrasting warmer precedents like 27°C on April 9—while high-pressure ridging promotes solar heating. Diurnal temperature ranges could tip outcomes, with official station measurements at Congonhas Airport resolving the market; fresh model runs expected within hours may refine guidance before afternoon peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月13日圣保罗的最高温度?
4月13日圣保罗的最高温度?
28°C或更高 38%
27°C 33%
26°C 20%
25°C 7.1%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
20%
27°C
33%
28°C或更高
38%
28°C或更高 38%
27°C 33%
26°C 20%
25°C 7.1%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
20%
27°C
33%
28°C或更高
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
**INMET's latest forecast for São Paulo on April 13 projects a maximum temperature of 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the slight market edge for 28°C or higher at 39.5% implied probability over 27°C at 34%, as ensemble models including ECMWF IFS and GFS converge closer to 27°C amid lingering uncertainty from variable cloud cover and urban heat island amplification in the city.** This tight trader consensus reflects recovery from a cool front that capped April 10 highs at around 21°C—contrasting warmer precedents like 27°C on April 9—while high-pressure ridging promotes solar heating. Diurnal temperature ranges could tip outcomes, with official station measurements at Congonhas Airport resolving the market; fresh model runs expected within hours may refine guidance before afternoon peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题