Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 12, amid persistent light rain turning to overcast skies and northeasterly breezes, driving the market-implied 84.3% probability for 17°C or below. These conditions limit solar insolation and daytime heating, well under the typical early-April high of 19°C, as a low-pressure system maintains cool air advection over the Yangtze River Delta. Model consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal divergence, with trader sentiment reflecting low uncertainty in this 24-hour window; a slim 12.5% odds on 18°C accounts for potential brief clearing, though official hourly observations will finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
17°C or below 84.1%
18°C 14%
20°C 2.5%
19°C 1.8%
$58,213 交易量
$58,213 交易量
17°C or below
84%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 84.1%
18°C 14%
20°C 2.5%
19°C 1.8%
$58,213 交易量
$58,213 交易量
17°C or below
84%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 12, amid persistent light rain turning to overcast skies and northeasterly breezes, driving the market-implied 84.3% probability for 17°C or below. These conditions limit solar insolation and daytime heating, well under the typical early-April high of 19°C, as a low-pressure system maintains cool air advection over the Yangtze River Delta. Model consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal divergence, with trader sentiment reflecting low uncertainty in this 24-hour window; a slim 12.5% odds on 18°C accounts for potential brief clearing, though official hourly observations will finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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