Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on Shanghai's highest temperature near 19-20°C on April 13, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 20°C or higher (30.5%), 18°C (22.5%), 17°C (20.6%), and 19°C (18.5%). This positioning stems from recent post-frontal cooling after early April highs reached 22°C, with current uncertainty arising from model disagreements on cloud cover thickness and potential light showers amid weak southerly flow and moderate humidity. Historical April averages of 19°C provide baseline context, while inherent short-range forecast variability—due to mesoscale atmospheric dynamics—keeps lower outcomes viable. Fresh model runs every 6-12 hours and April 12 observations will likely refine odds ahead of resolution via official Shanghai station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
20°C or higher 31%
18°C 23%
17°C 20.4%
19°C 19%
$35,912 交易量
$35,912 交易量
2026-04-13
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
20%
18°C
23%
19°C
19%
20°C or higher
31%
20°C or higher 31%
18°C 23%
17°C 20.4%
19°C 19%
$35,912 交易量
$35,912 交易量
2026-04-13
10°C or below
$2,244 交易量
<1%
11°C
$2,180 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,910 交易量
<1%
13°C
$3,786 交易量
<1%
14°C
$3,284 交易量
1%
15°C
$4,565 交易量
2%
16°C
$4,973 交易量
10%
17°C
$4,635 交易量
20%
18°C
$2,508 交易量
23%
19°C
$1,736 交易量
19%
20°C or higher
$4,112 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on Shanghai's highest temperature near 19-20°C on April 13, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 20°C or higher (30.5%), 18°C (22.5%), 17°C (20.6%), and 19°C (18.5%). This positioning stems from recent post-frontal cooling after early April highs reached 22°C, with current uncertainty arising from model disagreements on cloud cover thickness and potential light showers amid weak southerly flow and moderate humidity. Historical April averages of 19°C provide baseline context, while inherent short-range forecast variability—due to mesoscale atmospheric dynamics—keeps lower outcomes viable. Fresh model runs every 6-12 hours and April 12 observations will likely refine odds ahead of resolution via official Shanghai station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$35,912结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on Shanghai's highest temperature near 19-20°C on April 13, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 20°C or higher (30.5%), 18°C (22.5%), 17°C (20.6%), and 19°C (18.5%). This positioning stems from recent post-frontal cooling after early April highs reached 22°C, with current uncertainty arising from model disagreements on cloud cover thickness and potential light showers amid weak southerly flow and moderate humidity. Historical April averages of 19°C provide baseline context, while inherent short-range forecast variability—due to mesoscale atmospheric dynamics—keeps lower outcomes viable. Fresh model runs every 6-12 hours and April 12 observations will likely refine odds ahead of resolution via official Shanghai station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$35,912结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on Shanghai's highest temperature near 19-20°C on April 13, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 20°C or higher (30.5%), 18°C (22.5%), 17°C (20.6%), and 19°C (18.5%). This positioning stems from recent post-frontal cooling after early April highs reached 22°C, with current uncertainty arising from model disagreements on cloud cover thickness and potential light showers amid weak southerly flow and moderate humidity. Historical April averages of 19°C provide baseline context, while inherent short-range forecast variability—due to mesoscale atmospheric dynamics—keeps lower outcomes viable. Fresh model runs every 6-12 hours and April 12 observations will likely refine odds ahead of resolution via official Shanghai station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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