Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects MetService's latest forecasts projecting a maximum temperature of 19-20°C at Wellington International Airport on April 13, slightly above the April historical average of 16-17°C, driven by northerly winds advecting warmer air after initial gale westerlies. The razor-thin spread among 18°C (28%), 19°C (30%), and 20°C (29%) stems from ensemble model uncertainty over cloud cover from lingering showers and high cloud, which could reduce solar insolation and cap peaks, versus clearer breaks allowing 20°C+. Recent observations show above-normal highs (22°C on April 11), but inherent short-range forecast divergence—typical for Wellington's variable autumn synoptics—keeps outcomes matched; watch for MetService's April 12 update refining wind shifts and precipitation odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
19°C 30%
18°C 29%
20°C 29%
21°C 10.6%
$11,782 交易量
$11,782 交易量
2026-04-13
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
29%
19°C
30%
20°C
29%
21°C
11%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 30%
18°C 29%
20°C 29%
21°C 10.6%
$11,782 交易量
$11,782 交易量
2026-04-13
12°C or below
$933 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,245 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,368 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,268 交易量
1%
16°C
$1,075 交易量
1%
17°C
$403 交易量
6%
18°C
$460 交易量
29%
19°C
$396 交易量
30%
20°C
$499 交易量
29%
21°C
$1,701 交易量
11%
22°C or higher
$1,690 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects MetService's latest forecasts projecting a maximum temperature of 19-20°C at Wellington International Airport on April 13, slightly above the April historical average of 16-17°C, driven by northerly winds advecting warmer air after initial gale westerlies. The razor-thin spread among 18°C (28%), 19°C (30%), and 20°C (29%) stems from ensemble model uncertainty over cloud cover from lingering showers and high cloud, which could reduce solar insolation and cap peaks, versus clearer breaks allowing 20°C+. Recent observations show above-normal highs (22°C on April 11), but inherent short-range forecast divergence—typical for Wellington's variable autumn synoptics—keeps outcomes matched; watch for MetService's April 12 update refining wind shifts and precipitation odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$11,782结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects MetService's latest forecasts projecting a maximum temperature of 19-20°C at Wellington International Airport on April 13, slightly above the April historical average of 16-17°C, driven by northerly winds advecting warmer air after initial gale westerlies. The razor-thin spread among 18°C (28%), 19°C (30%), and 20°C (29%) stems from ensemble model uncertainty over cloud cover from lingering showers and high cloud, which could reduce solar insolation and cap peaks, versus clearer breaks allowing 20°C+. Recent observations show above-normal highs (22°C on April 11), but inherent short-range forecast divergence—typical for Wellington's variable autumn synoptics—keeps outcomes matched; watch for MetService's April 12 update refining wind shifts and precipitation odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,782结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects MetService's latest forecasts projecting a maximum temperature of 19-20°C at Wellington International Airport on April 13, slightly above the April historical average of 16-17°C, driven by northerly winds advecting warmer air after initial gale westerlies. The razor-thin spread among 18°C (28%), 19°C (30%), and 20°C (29%) stems from ensemble model uncertainty over cloud cover from lingering showers and high cloud, which could reduce solar insolation and cap peaks, versus clearer breaks allowing 20°C+. Recent observations show above-normal highs (22°C on April 11), but inherent short-range forecast divergence—typical for Wellington's variable autumn synoptics—keeps outcomes matched; watch for MetService's April 12 update refining wind shifts and precipitation odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题