MetService and NIWA forecasts, updated as of April 11 afternoon, project Wellington's highest temperature on April 12 at 19-20°C, driving trader consensus with 19°C at 41% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C (24%) and 18°C (22%). A low-pressure system will bring northerlies turning to strong easterly then southwesterly winds—potentially gales gusting 90 km/h—along with heavy rain (Heavy Rain Watch from 11am-11pm), capping daytime heating under increasing cloud cover. Today's observed max of 16.1°C at Wellington Airport aligns with this cooler autumn pattern, below the April average of 17°C, though dry breaks could nudge toward 20°C; monitor evening model updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on airport station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
19°C 40%
20°C 22%
18°C 22%
21°C 11%
$40,386 交易量
$40,386 交易量
2026-04-12
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
22%
19°C
40%
20°C
22%
21°C
11%
22°C or higher
4%
19°C 40%
20°C 22%
18°C 22%
21°C 11%
$40,386 交易量
$40,386 交易量
2026-04-12
12°C or below
$1,717 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,574 交易量
<1%
14°C
$3,379 交易量
<1%
15°C
$10,206 交易量
<1%
16°C
$4,577 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,835 交易量
3%
18°C
$3,553 交易量
22%
19°C
$3,034 交易量
40%
20°C
$1,552 交易量
22%
21°C
$3,704 交易量
11%
22°C or higher
$4,261 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService and NIWA forecasts, updated as of April 11 afternoon, project Wellington's highest temperature on April 12 at 19-20°C, driving trader consensus with 19°C at 41% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C (24%) and 18°C (22%). A low-pressure system will bring northerlies turning to strong easterly then southwesterly winds—potentially gales gusting 90 km/h—along with heavy rain (Heavy Rain Watch from 11am-11pm), capping daytime heating under increasing cloud cover. Today's observed max of 16.1°C at Wellington Airport aligns with this cooler autumn pattern, below the April average of 17°C, though dry breaks could nudge toward 20°C; monitor evening model updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$40,386结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService and NIWA forecasts, updated as of April 11 afternoon, project Wellington's highest temperature on April 12 at 19-20°C, driving trader consensus with 19°C at 41% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C (24%) and 18°C (22%). A low-pressure system will bring northerlies turning to strong easterly then southwesterly winds—potentially gales gusting 90 km/h—along with heavy rain (Heavy Rain Watch from 11am-11pm), capping daytime heating under increasing cloud cover. Today's observed max of 16.1°C at Wellington Airport aligns with this cooler autumn pattern, below the April average of 17°C, though dry breaks could nudge toward 20°C; monitor evening model updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$40,386结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETMetService and NIWA forecasts, updated as of April 11 afternoon, project Wellington's highest temperature on April 12 at 19-20°C, driving trader consensus with 19°C at 41% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C (24%) and 18°C (22%). A low-pressure system will bring northerlies turning to strong easterly then southwesterly winds—potentially gales gusting 90 km/h—along with heavy rain (Heavy Rain Watch from 11am-11pm), capping daytime heating under increasing cloud cover. Today's observed max of 16.1°C at Wellington Airport aligns with this cooler autumn pattern, below the April average of 17°C, though dry breaks could nudge toward 20°C; monitor evening model updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on airport station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题