National Weather Service forecasts point to Chicago's highest temperature today reaching near 51°F under mostly sunny skies with east winds of 5-10 mph gusting to 15 mph, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability on 46°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from NOAA ensembles. Current observations at O'Hare International Airport already show midday readings in the upper 40s to low 50s, surpassing the threshold amid clearing conditions following cooler 40s highs earlier this week. Historical April 11 normals of 57.2°F further bolster confidence, with minimal precipitation risk until evening. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold air intrusion or persistent low clouds suppressing peaks, though low-level moisture and steering patterns make sub-46°F outcomes improbable; monitor hourly NWS updates through sunset for final confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月11日芝加哥气温最高？
4月11日芝加哥气温最高？
46°F或更高 99.6%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$115,888 交易量
$115,888 交易量
2026-04-11
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46°F或更高
100%
46°F或更高 99.6%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$115,888 交易量
$115,888 交易量
2026-04-11
38-39°F
$4,973 交易量
<1%
40-41°F
$4,784 交易量
<1%
42-43°F
$12,467 交易量
<1%
44-45°F
$13,007 交易量
<1%
46°F或更高
$63,290 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to Chicago's highest temperature today reaching near 51°F under mostly sunny skies with east winds of 5-10 mph gusting to 15 mph, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability on 46°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from NOAA ensembles. Current observations at O'Hare International Airport already show midday readings in the upper 40s to low 50s, surpassing the threshold amid clearing conditions following cooler 40s highs earlier this week. Historical April 11 normals of 57.2°F further bolster confidence, with minimal precipitation risk until evening. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold air intrusion or persistent low clouds suppressing peaks, though low-level moisture and steering patterns make sub-46°F outcomes improbable; monitor hourly NWS updates through sunset for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$115,888结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to Chicago's highest temperature today reaching near 51°F under mostly sunny skies with east winds of 5-10 mph gusting to 15 mph, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability on 46°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from NOAA ensembles. Current observations at O'Hare International Airport already show midday readings in the upper 40s to low 50s, surpassing the threshold amid clearing conditions following cooler 40s highs earlier this week. Historical April 11 normals of 57.2°F further bolster confidence, with minimal precipitation risk until evening. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold air intrusion or persistent low clouds suppressing peaks, though low-level moisture and steering patterns make sub-46°F outcomes improbable; monitor hourly NWS updates through sunset for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$115,888结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts point to Chicago's highest temperature today reaching near 51°F under mostly sunny skies with east winds of 5-10 mph gusting to 15 mph, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability on 46°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from NOAA ensembles. Current observations at O'Hare International Airport already show midday readings in the upper 40s to low 50s, surpassing the threshold amid clearing conditions following cooler 40s highs earlier this week. Historical April 11 normals of 57.2°F further bolster confidence, with minimal precipitation risk until evening. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold air intrusion or persistent low clouds suppressing peaks, though low-level moisture and steering patterns make sub-46°F outcomes improbable; monitor hourly NWS updates through sunset for final confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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