National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models—GFS, ECMWF, and NBM ensembles—show strong consensus for a high temperature near 74°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 13, fueling the 93.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' model runs depicting a building upper-level ridge over the Midwest, promoting southwesterly winds that advect warmer air masses following a chilly weekend start with highs only around 50°F on April 11. Ensemble spreads are tight at 3-5°F, well above the April 13 climatological normal of 58°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected early cold frontal passage, increased low-level cloud cover suppressing insolation, or veering winds mixing in Lake Michigan's cool influence, potentially trimming peaks to the low 70s; watch evening model updates and Sunday NWS advisories for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 13?
74°F or higher 93%
72-73°F 5.3%
70-71°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$35,866 交易量
$35,866 交易量
2026-04-13
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74°F or higher
93%
74°F or higher 93%
72-73°F 5.3%
70-71°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$35,866 交易量
$35,866 交易量
2026-04-13
55°F or below
$6,049 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$2,341 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$2,656 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$2,672 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$2,613 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$2,365 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$2,013 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$3,943 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$3,818 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$2,868 交易量
5%
74°F or higher
$4,529 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models—GFS, ECMWF, and NBM ensembles—show strong consensus for a high temperature near 74°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 13, fueling the 93.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' model runs depicting a building upper-level ridge over the Midwest, promoting southwesterly winds that advect warmer air masses following a chilly weekend start with highs only around 50°F on April 11. Ensemble spreads are tight at 3-5°F, well above the April 13 climatological normal of 58°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected early cold frontal passage, increased low-level cloud cover suppressing insolation, or veering winds mixing in Lake Michigan's cool influence, potentially trimming peaks to the low 70s; watch evening model updates and Sunday NWS advisories for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$35,866结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models—GFS, ECMWF, and NBM ensembles—show strong consensus for a high temperature near 74°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 13, fueling the 93.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' model runs depicting a building upper-level ridge over the Midwest, promoting southwesterly winds that advect warmer air masses following a chilly weekend start with highs only around 50°F on April 11. Ensemble spreads are tight at 3-5°F, well above the April 13 climatological normal of 58°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected early cold frontal passage, increased low-level cloud cover suppressing insolation, or veering winds mixing in Lake Michigan's cool influence, potentially trimming peaks to the low 70s; watch evening model updates and Sunday NWS advisories for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$35,866结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETNational Weather Service guidance and major forecast models—GFS, ECMWF, and NBM ensembles—show strong consensus for a high temperature near 74°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 13, fueling the 93.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' model runs depicting a building upper-level ridge over the Midwest, promoting southwesterly winds that advect warmer air masses following a chilly weekend start with highs only around 50°F on April 11. Ensemble spreads are tight at 3-5°F, well above the April 13 climatological normal of 58°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected early cold frontal passage, increased low-level cloud cover suppressing insolation, or veering winds mixing in Lake Michigan's cool influence, potentially trimming peaks to the low 70s; watch evening model updates and Sunday NWS advisories for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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