The National Weather Service's official observation at Denver International Airport recorded a high temperature of 60-61°F on April 10, 2026, confirming trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome and driving the near-total market positioning. This matched the April 10 climatological normal of 61°F but fell short of pre-day NOAA forecast models like the HRRR and GFS, which projected 65-70°F under expected sunny skies; persistent low-level clouds, light showers, and a weak upper-level trough introduced cooling instability, capping peak heating around midday. Such meteorological shifts highlight forecast uncertainty from divergent model ensembles. Revision unlikely barring rare sensor recalibration by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, as daily ASOS data is typically finalized within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on April 10?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 10?
60-61°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$73,031 交易量
$73,031 交易量
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$73,031 交易量
$73,031 交易量
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 6, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The National Weather Service's official observation at Denver International Airport recorded a high temperature of 60-61°F on April 10, 2026, confirming trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome and driving the near-total market positioning. This matched the April 10 climatological normal of 61°F but fell short of pre-day NOAA forecast models like the HRRR and GFS, which projected 65-70°F under expected sunny skies; persistent low-level clouds, light showers, and a weak upper-level trough introduced cooling instability, capping peak heating around midday. Such meteorological shifts highlight forecast uncertainty from divergent model ensembles. Revision unlikely barring rare sensor recalibration by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, as daily ASOS data is typically finalized within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题